Regime Score
Normal deployment. A+ and A candidates eligible.
Five-Input Breakdown
NYSE A/D Line — Advance/Decline ratio 1.42 — positive
SPX/TSX vs 50MA — Both indices above 50-day MA
VIX / VVIX — VIX 18.4 — mildly elevated
HYG / LQD ratio — Spreads tightening — risk-on signal
XLK / XLU / XLF — Defensive rotation mixed — amber flag
Last protocol run: 2026-05-26 10:15 ET
Total Portfolio
$114,380
TFSA Cash
$8,420
Non-Reg Cash
$3,960
P&L Summary
Firewall Levels
Edge Metrics
PSF
0.82
Win Rate (L20)
65.0%
Expectancy
$287 / trade
Profit Factor
2.61×
Open Positions
4 active positions
Ticker | Account | Shares | Avg Cost | Current Price | Stop Trigger | Dist. to Stop | T1 Progress | Thesis | Guidance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SU | TFSA | 200 | $51.40 | $52.90+2.9% Yahoo Finance | $51.85 Limit: $51.40 | 1.98% | T1 $56 / T2 $61 | WEAKENING | WATCH — within 2% of stop. Tighten or reduce on next weakness. | Edit position |
SHOPSTALE | Non-Reg | 25 | $118.50 | $109.20-7.8% Yahoo Finance | $107.00 Limit: $106.20 | 2.01% | T1 $128 / T2 $140 | WEAKENING | WATCH — stale data. Price near stop. Confirm live price before action. | Edit position |
CNQ | TFSA | 150 | $42.18 | $44.87+6.4% Yahoo Finance | $41.20 Limit: $40.80 | 8.20% | T1 $47 / T2 $51 | INTACT | Hold — thesis intact, approaching T1 resistance. | Edit position |
CCO | Non-Reg | 80 | $64.20 | $71.35+11.1% Yahoo Finance | $62.00 Limit: $61.50 | 13.10% | T1 $75 / T2 $82 | INTACT | Hold — uranium thesis intact. Approaching T1, consider partial trim. | Edit position |
Prices from Yahoo Finance · 15-min delay during market hours
Last refreshed: 2026-05-26 12:47 ET
Blind Scan — Candidates
Protocol run: 2026-05-26 10:15 ET · 4 candidates ranked
Entry Price
$192.50
Now: $191.80
Stop Trigger
$184.00
Limit: $183.20
Position Size
15 shares
Phase Checks
Entry Price
$96.40
Now: $95.60
Stop Trigger
$91.00
Limit: $90.40
Position Size
20 shares
Phase Checks
Staged pending regime confirmation — Phase B setup incomplete
Entry Price
$154.20
Now: $153.40
Stop Trigger
$148.00
Limit: $147.20
Position Size
12 shares
Phase Checks
Entry Price
$128.00
Now: $131.50
Stop Trigger
$118.00
Limit: $117.00
Position Size
—
Phase Checks
BLOCKED — Phase A/B not confirmed. No deployment until setup resolves.
Alerts
3SU is within 1.98% of stop trigger ($51.85). Review position immediately.
2026-05-26 12:47 ET
SHOP stale data warning — last price $109.20 is within 2.01% of stop. Confirm live price.
2026-05-26 12:30 ET
New A+ candidate: WCN (Waste Connections) surfaced in blind scan. All Phase A/B checks passed.
2026-05-26 10:15 ET
SHOP earnings in 6 days (Jun 1). Review thesis and consider reducing exposure.
2026-05-25 09:00 ET
Regime improved from CAUTION (6.1) to STANDARD (7.2) on last protocol run.
2026-05-25 08:45 ET
Equity Curve
$114,380 CAD
Regime History
16-week lookback
Performance
8 closed trades
Win Rate
65.0%
Last 20
Expectancy
$287
per trade
Profit Factor
2.61×
W/L ratio
P&L by Trade
Closed Trade History
8 trades · Win rate: 62.5%
| Ticker | Entry | Exit | Entry Price | Exit Price | Grade | P&L | Days | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 2026-04-15 | 2026-05-12 | $186.20 | $181.40 | B | $216(-2.6%) | 27d | CAUTION |
| CP | 2026-04-02 | 2026-05-08 | $112.40 | $118.90 | A+ | +$455(+5.8%) | 36d | STANDARD |
| WPM | 2026-03-18 | 2026-04-22 | $68.50 | $72.10 | A | +$396(+5.3%) | 35d | STANDARD |
| MFC | 2026-03-04 | 2026-04-10 | $44.30 | $49.80 | A+ | +$1,100(+12.4%) | 37d | STRONG |
| ATD | 2026-02-18 | 2026-03-25 | $82.10 | $78.60 | A | $315(-4.3%) | 35d | CAUTION |
| ENB | 2026-02-03 | 2026-03-19 | $54.80 | $59.40 | A+ | +$828(+8.4%) | 44d | STRONG |
| BNS | 2026-01-15 | 2026-02-28 | $71.40 | $68.20 | B | $320(-4.5%) | 44d | STANDARD |
| TRP | 2026-01-08 | 2026-02-14 | $64.20 | $71.80 | A+ | +$912(+11.8%) | 37d | STRONG |